The signal and the noise
0 0 0
Materiale linguistico moderno

Silver, Nate

The signal and the noise

Abstract: Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we often fail to foresee hugely significant events. In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times'" political forecaster and statistics guru Nate Silver explores the art of prediction, revealing how we can all build a better crystal ball. In his quest to distinguish the true signal from a universe of noisy data, Silver visits hundreds of expert forecasters, in fields ranging from the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to terrorism. What lies behind their success? And why do so many predictions still fail? By analysing the rare prescient forecasts, and applying a more quantitative lens to everyday life, Silver distils the essential lessons of prediction. We live in an increasingly data-driven world, but it is harder than ever to detect the true patterns amid the noise of information. In this dazzling insider's tour of the world of forecasting, Silver reveals how we can all develop better foresight in our everyday lives.


Titolo e contributi: The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail but some don't / Nate Silver

Pubblicazione: London : Allen Lane, 2012

Descrizione fisica: 534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm

EAN: 9781846147524

Data:2012

Lingua: Inglese (lingua del testo, colonna sonora, ecc.)

Paese: Regno Unito

Nomi:

Soggetti:

Classi: 519.5 STATISTICA MATEMATICA (14)

Dati generali (100)
  • Tipo di data: monografia edita in un solo anno
  • Data di pubblicazione: 2012
  • Target: adulti, generale
Testi (105)
  • Genere: saggi

Sono presenti 1 copie, di cui 0 in prestito.

Biblioteca Collocazione Inventario Stato Prestabilità Rientra
COSTA VOLPINO O 519.5 SIL COS-84899 Su scaffale Prestabile
Vedi tutti

Ultime recensioni inserite

Nessuna recensione

Codice da incorporare

Copia e incolla sul tuo sito il codice HTML qui sotto.