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Trovati 141 documenti.
London : Allen Lane, 2012
Abstract: Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we often fail to foresee hugely significant events. In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times'" political forecaster and statistics guru Nate Silver explores the art of prediction, revealing how we can all build a better crystal ball. In his quest to distinguish the true signal from a universe of noisy data, Silver visits hundreds of expert forecasters, in fields ranging from the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to terrorism. What lies behind their success? And why do so many predictions still fail? By analysing the rare prescient forecasts, and applying a more quantitative lens to everyday life, Silver distils the essential lessons of prediction. We live in an increasingly data-driven world, but it is harder than ever to detect the true patterns amid the noise of information. In this dazzling insider's tour of the world of forecasting, Silver reveals how we can all develop better foresight in our everyday lives.
London [etc.] : Simon & Schuster, 2012
Abstract: Jacquetta, daughter of the Count of Luxembourg and kinswoman to half the royalty of Europe, was married to the great Englishman John, Duke of Bedford, uncle to Henry VI. Widowed at the age of nineteen she took the extraordinary risk of marrying a gentleman of her household for love, and then carved out a life for herself as Queen Margaret of Anjou's close friend and a Lancaster supporter - until the day that her daughter Elizabeth Woodville fell in love and married the rival king Edward IV. Of all the little-known but important women of the period, her dramatic story is the most neglected. With her links to Melusina, and to the founder of the house of Luxembourg, together with her reputation for making magic, she is the most haunting of heroines.
2. ed. rev. e update
Oxford : Oxford University press, 2012
Abstract: With over one million copies sold, The Undercover Economist has been hailed worldwide as a fantastic guide to the fundamental principles of economics. An economist's version of The Way Things Work, this engaging volume is part Economics 101 and part expose of the economic principles lurking behind daily events, explaining everything from traffic jams to high coffee prices. This revised edition, newly updated to consider the banking crisis and economic turbulence of the last four years, is essential for anyone who has wondered why the gap between rich and poor nations is so great, or why they can't seem to find a decent second-hand car, or how to outwit Starbucks. Senior columnist for the Financial Times Tim Harford brings his experience and insight to bear as he ranges from Africa, Asia, Europe, and the United States to reveal how supermarkets, airlines, and coffee chains--to name just a few--are vacuuming money from our wallets. Harford punctures the myths surrounding some of today's biggest controversies, including the high cost of health-care; he reveals why certain environmental laws can put a smile on a landlord's face; and he explains why some industries can have high profits for innocent reasons, while in other industries something sinister is going on. Covering an array of economic concepts including scarce resources, market power, efficiency, price gouging, market failure, inside information, and game theory, Harford sheds light on how these forcesshape our day-to-day lives, often without our knowing it. Showing us the world through the eyes of an economist, Tim Harford reveals that everyday events are intricate games of negotiations, contests of strength, and battles of wits. Written with a light touch and sly wit, The Undercover Economist turns 'the dismal science' into a true delight
London : Faber and Faber, 2012
Abstract: It is 1803, six years since Elizabeth and Darcy embarked on their life together at Pemberley, Darcy's magnificent estate. Their peaceful, orderly world seems almost unassailable. Elizabeth has found her footing as the chatelaine of the great house. They have two fine sons, Fitzwilliam and Charles. Elizabeth's sister Jane and her husband, Bingley, live nearby; her father visits often; there is optimistic talk about the prospects of marriage for Darcy's sister Georgiana. And preparations are under way for their much-anticipated annual autumn ball. But now, Pemberley is thrown into chaos after Elizabeth Bennett's disgraced sister Lydia arrives and announces that her husband Wickham has been murdered
London : Hodder & Stoughton, 2012
Abstract: The coroner’s verdict is accidental death. Ian Cresswell slipped, hit his head and drowned in the boathouse – a tragic accident. Ian’s uncle, business magnate Bernard Fairclough, is not so sure. To put his mind at rest, he requests the discreet involvement of Detective Inspector Thomas Lynley, not for a formal investigation, but for a confidential review of the circumstances of his nephew’s demise. Still grieving for his murdered wife, Lynley has personal reasons for welcoming a spell away from London, and from his complicated relationship with Superintendent Isabelle Ardery. He heads to the wild beauty of the Lake District, with Deborah and Simon St James to provide cover for his enquiries.
London : Vintage, 2012
Abstract: But that doesn't mean there isn't an answer to them'This is Christopher's murder mystery story. There are also no lies in this story because Christopher can't tell lies. When Christopher decides to find out who killed the neighbour's dog, his mystery story becomes more complicated than he could have ever predicted.
London : Arrow, 2012
Abstract: In the course of a career that encompassed nearly one hundred novels and short story collections (written over more than seventy years)
London : Vintage, 2012
Abstract: Surround yourself with human beings, my dear James. They are easier to fight for than principles.' In Casino Royale, the first of Fleming's 007 adventures, a game of cards is James Bond's only chance to bring down the desperate SMERSH agent Le Chiffre. But Bond soon discovers that there is far more at stake than money.
London : Little, Brown, 2012
Abstract: A BIG NOVEL ABOUT A SMALL TOWN ...When Barry Fairbrother dies in his early forties, thè town of Pagford is left in shock. Pagford ìs, seemingly, an English idyll, with a cobbled market square and an ancient abbey, but what lies behind thè pretty facade is a town at war.Rich at war with poor, teenagen at war with their parents, wives at war with their husbands, teachers at war with their pupils ... Pagford is not what ìt fìrst seems.And thè empty seat left by Barry on thè Parish Council soon becomes thè catalyst for thè biggest war thè town has yet seen. Who will triumph in an election fraught with passion, duplicity and unexpected re velati ons?A big novel about a small town,The Casual Vacancy isJ.K. Rowling's first novel foradults. It is thè work of astoryteller like no other.
Cambridge : Cambridge university press, 2012
Abstract: Complete IELTS combines the very best in contemporary classroom practice with stimulating topics aimed at young adults wanting to study at university. The Student's Book without Answers contains 8 topic-based units with stimulating speaking activities, a language reference, grammar and vocabulary explanations and examples, to ensure that students gain skills practice for each of the four papers of the IELTS test. It also includes a complete IELTS practice test to allow students to familiarise themselves with the format of the exam. The CD-ROM contains additional skills, grammar, vocabulary and listening exercises
Milano : Tre60, 2012
Abstract: 63 d.C. In una placida notte senza luna, le fredde e nere acque della Manica conducono in porto un vascello senza insegne. Sul molo sbarca Sebastos Pantera, una spia reduce da una lunga missione in Britannia, che lo ha profondamente segnato sia nello spirito sia nel fisico. Ma non è tempo di riposo. Ad attenderlo c'è il suo mentore, Seneca, che lo porta subito al cospetto dell'imperatore. Giunto in Gallia per assistere a una corsa di quadrighe, Nerone è infatti impaziente d'incontrare in segreto il suo miglior agente per rivelargli l'esistenza di un'oscura quanto minacciosa profezia: Roma sarà avvolta dalle fiamme e brucerà in cenere, annientata dalla sua abissale depravazione. Allora il Regno del Cielo si manifesterà come stato promesso. Terrorizzato all'idea che qualcuno stia tramando contro di lui, l'imperatore ordina quindi a Pantera di scoprire l'origine di quel testo misterioso. All'abile spia non resta dunque che piegarsi al suo volere e assumere una nuova identità, infiltrarsi tra le fila dell'esercito sui campi di battaglia e tra i circoli di potere nei palazzi della capitale, e chiarire un enigma che potrebbe nascondere una rete d'inganni, intrighi e tradimenti in grado di annientare il cuore stesso dell'impero. Il destino di Roma è nelle sue mani...
London : Harper, 2012
London : Piatkus, 2012
Abstract: When she encounters Traian, an immortal warrior, deep in the Carpathian Mountains, bodyguard Joie Sanders soon discovers that she needs his help to escape the mountains and fight enemy vampires.
Oxford : Oxford University press, 2012
Milano : Mondadori, 2012
Abstract: Chloe ha davvero bisogno di una vacanza. Non ne può più di confezionare abiti nuziali, lei poi che non è neanche sposata! Ed è un momento delicato perché Philip, il suo compagno, ha seri problemi di lavoro e non riesce a pensare ad altro. Meno male che Gerard, uno dei suoi più cari amici, le presta la sua meravigliosa villa in Spagna dove trascorrere qualche giorno in pace... Hugh non è felice. Amanda, la sua impeccabile moglie, sembra più interessata ai colori delle pareti del loro lussuoso appartamento che a lui, e a Hugh non resta che lavorare dalla mattina alla sera. Ma Gerard, un vecchio compagno di scuola che ha rincontrato per caso, gli dà l'occasione di spezzare questa opprimente routine proponendogli un breve soggiorno nella sua casa in Spagna... Perfetto! E così Chloe e Hugh si ritrovano con le rispettive famiglie nello stesso momento e nello stesso posto, scoprendo con grande disappunto che Gerard ha promesso la villa a entrambi. Dopo lo sconcerto iniziale, sono costretti a convivere tra piccoli disagi e, soprattutto, tensioni sotterranee. Perché Chloe e Hugh hanno un passato in comune, un passato che torna prepotentemente a galla durante una vacanza che si rivelerà piena di imprevisti e sorprese. Vacanze in villa è una commedia sulla difficoltà di difendere l'amore dalle insidie dell'abitudine e della quotidianità, in una sfida che si combatte - e si vince - giorno dopo giorno.
London : Vintage books, 2012
Abstract: In November 1929, Christopher Isherwood - determined to become a 'permanent foreigner' - packed a rucksack and two suitcases and left England on a one-way ticket for Berlin. With incredible candour and wit, Isherwood recalls the decadence of Berlin's night scene and his route to sexual liberation. As the Nazis rise to power, Isherwood describes his dramatic struggle to save his partner Heinz from persecution